The Global Panorama of Political Conflict
Lecture for employees of the Austrian Parliament on global trends in armed conflict, delivered in the University of Innsbruck's seminar series on Foreign and World Politics.
I delivered this lecture for employees of the Austrian Parliament as part of the University of Innsbruck's continuing education seminar series on Foreign and World Politics in October 2024. The talk provided a data-driven overview of global trends in armed conflict. Drawing on ACLED and the Ethnic Power Relations dataset, I showed how the number and intensity of conflicts have risen sharply since 2010. I explained the structural drivers (democratic backsliding, minority exclusion, and the erosion of international institutions) and discussed what the evidence tells us about the kinds of political arrangements most likely to prevent violence from erupting or escalating.